How Trump Achieved a Breakthrough in Gaza Yet Struggles With Putin Over the Ukraine Conflict
Reports of an upcoming US-Russia presidential meeting have been greatly exaggerated, it seems.
Just days after Donald Trump said he planned to confer with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Budapest - "in approximately a fortnight" - the high-level talks has been suspended indefinitely.
A initial meeting by the two nations' top diplomats has been cancelled, too.
"I don't want to have a wasted meeting," President Trump informed reporters at the executive mansion on Tuesday afternoon. "I aim to avoid a pointless effort, so I'll see what happens."
- Trump states he did not want a 'unproductive session' after arrangement for Putin talks postponed
- Disappointment in Kyiv as Zelensky departs Washington empty-handed
The frequently changing meeting is just the latest twist in the president's attempts to mediate an end to hostilities in Ukraine – a topic of renewed focus for the American leader after he arranged a truce and hostage release deal in Gaza.
While making remarks in the North African country last week to celebrate that ceasefire agreement, the president turned to Steve Witkoff, with a fresh directive.
"We have to get the Russian situation resolved," he said.
However, the conditions that converged to make a Gaza breakthrough possible for Witkoff and his team may be difficult to duplicate in a Ukraine war that has been ongoing for nearing several years.
Less Leverage
Per Witkoff, the key to achieving a agreement was Israel's move to attack representatives of Hamas in Qatar. It was a action that infuriated America's Arab allies but gave Trump bargaining power to compel Israel's leader Benjamin Netanyahu into making a deal.
Trump gained from a history of siding with the Israeli state dating back to his initial presidency, encompassing his decision to move the American embassy to Jerusalem, to alter America's position on the legality of Jewish communities in the occupied territories and, in recent times, his backing for Israel's military campaign against Iran.
The American leader, actually, is better regarded among Israelis than Netanyahu – a situation that provided him with unique influence over the nation's head.
Combine Trump's political and economic ties to key Arab players in the region, and he had a abundant diplomatic muscle to secure an agreement.
Regarding the conflict in Ukraine, on the other hand, the president has significantly reduced influence. Over the past nine months, he has swung between attempts to strong-arm the Russian president and then the Ukrainian leader, all with minimal visible progress.
The US leader has warned to enact new sanctions on Russia's oil and gas sales and to provide the Ukrainian forces with new long-range weapons. But he has also acknowledged that doing so could disrupt the global economy and intensify the war.
At the same time, the US leader has criticized openly Zelensky, temporarily cutting off intelligence-sharing with Ukraine and pausing weapon deliveries to the country - only to then back off in the wake of concerned European allies who caution a defeat of Ukraine could destabilise the whole area.
Trump often boasts about his ability to sit down and negotiate deals, but his personal discussions with both Putin and Zelensky have not appeared to move the hostilities any closer to a resolution.
The Russian president may actually be using the US leader's wish for a deal – and faith in direct negotiations - as a means of influencing him.
During the summer, Russia's leader consented to a high-level meeting in the US state just as it appeared likely that the president would sign off on legislative penalties backed by GOP senators. That bill was afterwards put on hold.
Last week, as reports spread that the White House was considering seriously shipping long-range missiles and air defense systems to Ukraine, the president of Russia called Trump who then touted the potential summit in Budapest.
The next day, the president hosted Ukraine's leader at the White House, but departed without agreements after a reportedly strained discussion.
The US leader maintained that he was not being manipulated by Putin.
"You know, I've been played throughout my career by the best of them, and I emerged really well," he remarked.
But the Ukrainian leader later made note of the sequence of events.
"As soon as the matter of advanced weaponry became a less accessible for us – for Ukraine – Russia almost automatically became less interested in negotiations," he said.
Thus, in a short period, Trump has bounced from considering the idea of providing weapons to Ukraine to organizing a meeting in Hungary with Russia's leader and confidentially pressuring Zelensky to surrender the entire Donbas region – even land Russian forces has been unable to conquer.
He has finally decided on advocating a ceasefire along present frontlines – something the Russian government has refused to accept.
On the campaign trail previously, the candidate promised that he could end the Ukraine war in a matter of hours. He has since abandoned that pledge, admitting that ending the hostilities is turning out more difficult than he anticipated.
It has been a rare acknowledgement of the limits of his authority – and the difficulty of finding a peace plan when neither side desires, or is able to, give up the fight.